The economic consequences of crime in Italy
Title | The economic consequences of crime in Italy |
Publication Type | Working Paper |
Year of Publication | 2013 |
Authors | Carboni, OA, Detotto, C |
Number | 2013_03 |
Keywords | crime, crowding-out effect, growth, spatial models, spatial weights |
Abstract | This paper employs provincial data to study the relationship between several crime typologies, namely murder, theft, robbery and fraud, and economic output in Italy. We employ a spatial econometric approach where the spatial proximity is defined by a measure of physical distance between locations, in order to take into account possible spill-over effects. The model used here combines a spatial autoregressive model with autoregressive disturbances. In modelling the outcome for each location depends on a weighted average of the outcomes of other locations. Outcomes are determined simultaneously. The results of the spatial two stage least square estimation suggest that the homicide rate has a negative impact on Italian gross domestic product while theft, robbery and fraud do not affect economic output and that there are beneficial spill-overs from neighbouring provinces. |
Citation Key | 4546 |
Attachment | Size |
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WP13-03.pdf | 542.85 KB |